Delta Think OA News & Views

“This month we look at Transformative Journals (TJs). We examine what their measures of compliance mean and how the criteria for growing OA in TJs compares with the typical growth of OA in hybrid journals.

We have previously analyzed the proportions of papers that might be affected by Plan S, the European-led initiative “to make full and immediate Open Access to research publications a reality.” Researchers funded under the initiative must publish via one of four routes, which lay down rules for allowed access types. One allowed route is a Transformative Journal.

Join us to learn more about Plan S definitions and scenario modeling of Transformative Journals….”

Transformative Journals – Delta Think

“This month we look at Transformative Journals (TJs). We examine what their measures of compliance mean and how the criteria for growing OA in TJs compares with the typical growth of OA in hybrid journals….

The data suggest that historically, the OA proportion of journals’ output has not grown as fast as TJ requirements require:

Over the last three years, the total number of papers published across all journals currently marked as TJs is growing at roughly half the rate needed for them to continue to enjoy TJ status.
The number of journals meeting TJ requirements of OA growth is small. Only a dozen or so (out of around 2,000) have met TJ targets for each of the last three years. However, around two thirds have met TJ targets for at least one year out of the last 3.

The data also showed that only 20 or so journals (less than 1%) had over 75% OA uptake, while two thirds (68%) had 20% OA uptake or less. Smaller journals show the fastest growth in OA. Most of the larger ones appear to be virtually static….

The data suggest that the OA growth criteria for TJ status are aggressive, but not impossible. The current crop of TJs are on average growing OA proportions at around half the pace needed to be in compliance. (The average growth in OA uptake of hybrid journals from major publishers follows broadly similar patterns.) Many journals have previously met TJ targets for one year or even two, suggesting the challenges lie in adding to existing momentum, rather than building OA uptake from scratch.

 

However, the biggest caveat is timing. Support for TJs is due to be withdrawn completely in 2024, but two thirds of current TJs have less than 20% OA uptake. So many could meet their TJ targets, but still have only around one third OA uptake in 2024. Publishers would then be faced with a tough choice: flip minority-OA journals to fully OA, risk at least one third of output as zero-embargo Green impacting subscriptions … or fall out of Plan S compliance completely and lose one third of their submissions.”

News & Views: Open Access Market Sizing Update 2020 – Delta Think

“Delta Think’s OA Market Sizing (i.e., revenue generated by providers or, conversely, costs incurred to buyers of content) shows that the open access market continues to grow faster than the underlying journals publishing market. Based on current trends, we estimate it to have been worth around $763m in 2019 and on track to grow to around $850m in 2020….”

Exploring Current Attitudes Toward Preprints Survey

“Delta Think is surveying broadly to determine whether COVID-19 has had an impact on perceptions of Preprints. The survey is open to everyone – from Publishers to Librarians to Researchers to the Lay Public with and interest in scientific output. For each survey completed, we will donate $5 to Project HOPE, up to $1,000. The survey should take less than 5 minutes to complete….”

 

Exploring Current Attitudes Toward Preprints Survey

“Delta Think is surveying broadly to determine whether COVID-19 has had an impact on perceptions of Preprints. The survey is open to everyone – from Publishers to Librarians to Researchers to the Lay Public with and interest in scientific output. For each survey completed, we will donate $5 to Project HOPE, up to $1,000. The survey should take less than 5 minutes to complete….”

 

Open Access is not just for Open Access Journals

“We’re pleased to offer our next free webinar tied to Delta Think’s popular News & Views column. Webinars will be discussion-oriented and seek to supplement consultant commentary with real-world examples from our community. All are welcome!

In this month’s issue of Delta Think News & Views, we explore how open access compares with other types of access and how the balance of output between access models is shifting in unexpected ways. You can read in full here: (https://deltathink.com/news-views-open-access-is-not-just-for-open-access-journals/). In this discussion forum, we again add a personal component to the research by opening up a conversation between the authors Ann Michael and Dan Pollock, and you – our colleagues and readers. Join us as we talk through the trends and invite attendees to participate in the discussion by offering your experience and predictions – for both your organization and the industry at large. We encourage you to participate actively, so please bring your ideas, your questions, and your vision for the future!…”

Open Access is not just for Open Access Journals

“We’re pleased to offer our next free webinar tied to Delta Think’s popular News & Views column. Webinars will be discussion-oriented and seek to supplement consultant commentary with real-world examples from our community. All are welcome!

In this month’s issue of Delta Think News & Views, we explore how open access compares with other types of access and how the balance of output between access models is shifting in unexpected ways. You can read in full here: (https://deltathink.com/news-views-open-access-is-not-just-for-open-access-journals/). In this discussion forum, we again add a personal component to the research by opening up a conversation between the authors Ann Michael and Dan Pollock, and you – our colleagues and readers. Join us as we talk through the trends and invite attendees to participate in the discussion by offering your experience and predictions – for both your organization and the industry at large. We encourage you to participate actively, so please bring your ideas, your questions, and your vision for the future!…”